← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Penn State University0.96+2.32vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.08+1.00vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University0.45+1.39vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech-0.03+1.65vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-0.67+2.53vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-0.93+2.28vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech-0.03-1.35vs Predicted
-
8Washington College-0.87-0.01vs Predicted
-
9William and Mary-0.82-1.06vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College-0.37-3.42vs Predicted
-
11Drexel University-1.47-1.22vs Predicted
-
12University of Delaware-2.96+0.99vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Stony Brook-1.03-4.30vs Predicted
-
14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88-5.65vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Military Academy-3.63-1.06vs Predicted
-
16Rutgers University-2.23-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.32Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
-
3.0Christopher Newport University1.080.3%1st Place
-
4.39Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
-
5.65Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
-
7.53Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
-
8.28Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
-
5.65Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
-
7.99Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
-
7.94William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
-
6.58SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
-
9.78Drexel University-1.470.0%1st Place
-
12.99University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
-
8.7SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.0%1st Place
-
8.35Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.0%1st Place
-
13.94U. S. Military Academy-3.630.0%1st Place
-
11.56Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 23.9% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 26.5% | 24.3% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 13.1% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 14.8% | 32.1% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nic Delia | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 22.6% | 57.6% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 23.3% | 22.7% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.