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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+4.60vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.08+1.04vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.45+1.43vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.96-0.61vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.67+2.60vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.37+0.70vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.03-1.40vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.87+0.12vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.82-1.02vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.24-0.84vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-1.03-2.33vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88-3.85vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.93-4.49vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.02-2.64vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-3.08-1.79vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-3.87-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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3.04Christopher Newport University1.080.3%1st Place
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4.43Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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3.39Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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7.6Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.7SUNY Maritime College-0.370.1%1st Place
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5.6Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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8.12Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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7.98William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.16Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
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8.67SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.0%1st Place
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8.15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.0%1st Place
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8.51Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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13.21U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
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14.11Rutgers University-3.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 26.0% | 23.5% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 13.2% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 22.0% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 25.9% | 18.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 13.7% | 38.7% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Brito | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 21.1% | 63.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.