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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+2.32vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.45+2.34vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.37+3.57vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.03+1.69vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-1.80vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.93+2.40vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.87+1.07vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.82+0.02vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.67-1.45vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88-1.74vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.08+2.15vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.03-6.31vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-1.24-3.56vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.02-2.65vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-3.87-0.85vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-1.03-7.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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4.34Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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6.57SUNY Maritime College-0.370.1%1st Place
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5.69Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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3.2Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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8.4Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
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8.07Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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8.02William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.55Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.26Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.0%1st Place
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13.15U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
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5.69Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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9.44Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
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11.35University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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14.15Rutgers University-3.870.0%1st Place
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8.51SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 24.8% | 20.3% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 14.6% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 23.9% | 21.6% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 12.5% | 37.8% | 29.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 24.3% | 20.2% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Brito | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 22.9% | 62.2% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.