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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+2.60vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.70+2.03vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.03+2.96vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.03+1.96vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-1.60vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.37+0.97vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-1.47+2.75vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.45-3.40vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.87-0.92vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.67-2.30vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.82-2.86vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-1.03-3.40vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-3.63-0.01vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-3.87-0.88vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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4.03Princeton University0.700.2%1st Place
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5.96Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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5.96Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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3.4Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.97SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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9.75Drexel University-1.470.0%1st Place
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4.6Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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8.08Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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7.7Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.14William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.6SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.0%1st Place
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12.99U. S. Military Academy-3.630.0%1st Place
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13.12Rutgers University-3.870.0%1st Place
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8.07Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 19.9% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 15.8% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 21.3% | 20.8% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 24.4% | 11.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 4.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nic Delia | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 41.3% | 44.0% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Brito | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 5.5% | 33.4% | 53.7% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.