← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.49+2.47vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami2.32+1.90vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.78+1.74vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University0.73+3.32vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University1.55-0.03vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University0.77+1.19vs Predicted
-
7University of Central Florida-0.46+4.36vs Predicted
-
8Duke University0.06+1.74vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.02-1.60vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel0.19-0.11vs Predicted
-
11Florida Institute of Technology0.73-3.49vs Predicted
-
12University of South Carolina-0.41-0.77vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-0.58-1.04vs Predicted
-
14University of North Carolina-0.46-2.62vs Predicted
-
15Rollins College0.41-7.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.47College of Charleston2.4922.1%1st Place
-
3.9University of Miami2.3219.4%1st Place
-
4.74North Carolina State University1.7812.8%1st Place
-
7.32Clemson University0.735.5%1st Place
-
4.97Jacksonville University1.5511.6%1st Place
-
7.19Florida State University0.775.4%1st Place
-
11.36University of Central Florida-0.461.5%1st Place
-
9.74Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
-
7.4University of South Florida1.024.9%1st Place
-
9.89The Citadel0.192.1%1st Place
-
7.51Florida Institute of Technology0.735.0%1st Place
-
11.23University of South Carolina-0.411.1%1st Place
-
11.96Embry-Riddle University-0.581.2%1st Place
-
11.38University of North Carolina-0.461.2%1st Place
-
7.92Rollins College0.414.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 22.1% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.4% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 12.8% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Matthew King | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 18.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 5.7% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 18.2% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 28.5% |
| May Proctor | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 19.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.