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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.73+4.25vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.39+0.78vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.81+1.02vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.26+1.26vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-2.74vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.07-0.44vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.34-2.07vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.43+0.83vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy0.10+0.29vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-0.10-0.36vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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3.56Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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3.78University of Vermont3.390.2%1st Place
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5.02Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.26SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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3.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.2%1st Place
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6.56Cornell University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.93Columbia University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.83Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Military Academy0.100.0%1st Place
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10.64Rutgers University-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sachs | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Willem Sandberg | 18.3% | 20.9% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 18.2% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Louis Padnos | 24.0% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Goldsmith | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Billy Hines | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Harmen Rockler | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 23.0% | 28.9% | 18.6% |
| Jonathan Hatch | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 17.0% | 29.2% | 32.8% |
| Tim Gorzelnik | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 14.7% | 24.9% | 44.9% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 7.9% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.