← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University0.45+3.72vs Predicted
-
2Penn State University0.96+1.52vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University1.08+0.34vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University0.70+0.16vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook-1.03+3.61vs Predicted
-
6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88+2.31vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech-0.03-1.26vs Predicted
-
8Syracuse University-0.67-0.39vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College-0.37-2.07vs Predicted
-
10Drexel University-1.47-0.27vs Predicted
-
11Virginia Tech-0.03-5.26vs Predicted
-
12Washington College-0.87-3.79vs Predicted
-
13William and Mary-0.82-4.95vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Military Academy-3.63-1.10vs Predicted
-
15Rutgers University-3.87-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.72Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
-
3.52Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
-
3.34Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
-
4.16Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
-
8.61SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.0%1st Place
-
8.31Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.0%1st Place
-
5.74Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
-
7.61Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
-
6.93SUNY Maritime College-0.370.1%1st Place
-
9.73Drexel University-1.470.0%1st Place
-
5.74Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
-
8.21Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
-
8.05William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
-
12.9U. S. Military Academy-3.630.0%1st Place
-
13.15Rutgers University-3.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 11.2% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 20.5% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 23.1% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 14.0% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 24.3% | 9.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nic Delia | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 42.2% | 41.9% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Brito | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 33.3% | 54.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.