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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+2.40vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.70+2.11vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88+5.35vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.03+2.03vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.67+2.91vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.03+2.88vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.89+1.14vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.37-1.05vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.03-2.97vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.87-1.57vs Predicted
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11Penn State University0.96-7.30vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.45-7.10vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-1.24-3.65vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-2.23-2.53vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-3.63-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.11Princeton University0.700.2%1st Place
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8.35Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.0%1st Place
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6.03Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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7.91Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.88SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.0%1st Place
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8.14William and Mary-0.890.0%1st Place
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6.95SUNY Maritime College-0.370.1%1st Place
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6.03Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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8.43Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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3.7Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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4.9Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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9.35Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
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11.47Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
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13.35U. S. Military Academy-3.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 22.1% | 22.2% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 16.8% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 16.7% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 12.3% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 37.4% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Nic Delia | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 11.9% | 75.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.