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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.54+1.08vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.75+3.71vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-1.31+1.87vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.77-0.21vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-0.44-1.71vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.09-2.60vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.20-3.39vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-3.63-2.21vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Michigan Technological University0.540.4%1st Place
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5.71Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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4.87Michigan Technological University-1.310.1%1st Place
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3.79Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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3.29Northern Michigan University-0.440.2%1st Place
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4.4University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.61Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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7.79Northwestern University-3.630.0%1st Place
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8.46Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 44.0% | 26.7% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.1% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 30.7% | 11.1% | 2.1% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 5.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 18.8% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Henry | 12.0% | 16.6% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marco Constantini | 17.5% | 23.2% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 8.7% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 8.5% | 52.3% | 28.1% |
| Piper Luke | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 22.3% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.