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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.54+1.04vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.20+2.81vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.77-0.03vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-1.31-0.31vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.44-2.72vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.09-2.60vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.75-2.45vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-3.63-1.21vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Michigan Technological University0.540.4%1st Place
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4.81Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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3.97Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.69Michigan Technological University-1.310.1%1st Place
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3.28Northern Michigan University-0.440.2%1st Place
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4.4University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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5.55Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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7.79Northwestern University-3.630.0%1st Place
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8.47Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 44.6% | 27.3% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 4.9% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 20.6% | 15.4% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Henry | 10.3% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Marco Constantini | 17.8% | 23.7% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John McCalmont | 8.8% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 28.7% | 10.4% | 1.3% |
| Shea Smith | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 8.9% | 51.5% | 28.5% |
| Piper Luke | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 22.8% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.