Race 3A

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Cecilia Dietsch 7.1% 9.2% 11.5% 13.3% 17.5% 18.9% 17.6% 4.5% 0.4%
Marco Constantini 13.6% 19.7% 19.1% 17.9% 15.1% 9.0% 4.8% 0.8% 0.0%
John McCalmont 7.8% 11.0% 14.4% 16.3% 15.7% 17.1% 14.3% 3.1% 0.3%
Ryan Dodge 8.3% 9.3% 13.8% 15.4% 18.2% 16.6% 15.1% 3.1% 0.2%
Caroline Henry 12.1% 18.2% 16.3% 16.5% 13.4% 13.4% 7.7% 2.1% 0.3%
Andrew Michels 45.9% 26.1% 14.9% 7.7% 4.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Carly Irwin 4.5% 4.5% 8.0% 10.7% 12.4% 18.7% 29.6% 10.2% 1.4%
Shea Smith 0.6% 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% 3.8% 7.7% 53.0% 28.4%
Piper Luke 0.1% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.7% 2.6% 23.2% 69.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.