Race 4A

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Andrew Michels 44.9% 27.4% 14.1% 8.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Cecilia Dietsch 4.5% 7.3% 12.8% 13.1% 16.7% 20.4% 17.3% 7.2% 0.7%
John McCalmont 6.8% 10.8% 15.5% 15.8% 16.7% 16.9% 14.1% 3.1% 0.3%
Ryan Dodge 8.5% 10.4% 13.5% 15.6% 16.8% 17.2% 14.8% 3.0% 0.2%
Marco Constantini 17.6% 23.0% 18.6% 14.5% 13.0% 7.9% 4.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Caroline Henry 11.6% 14.5% 17.5% 19.5% 15.4% 12.3% 7.7% 1.5% 0.0%
Carly Irwin 4.7% 5.0% 6.8% 10.6% 14.2% 18.5% 29.0% 9.7% 1.5%
Shea Smith 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 1.9% 2.2% 3.7% 9.0% 52.0% 28.3%
Piper Luke 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 3.5% 22.5% 68.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.