Race 5A

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Andrew Michels 43.1% 26.3% 16.2% 8.4% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Cecilia Dietsch 4.3% 6.6% 11.5% 12.7% 13.7% 16.7% 16.5% 15.5% 2.5%
Caroline Henry 9.8% 14.4% 16.6% 15.4% 15.6% 13.7% 9.2% 4.8% 0.5%
Ryan Dodge 7.8% 9.4% 12.5% 15.3% 14.3% 14.0% 15.0% 11.3% 0.4%
Marco Constantini 17.2% 22.6% 16.4% 14.1% 12.2% 9.5% 5.4% 2.4% 0.2%
John McCalmont 8.2% 9.5% 14.7% 14.1% 17.5% 13.9% 13.1% 8.1% 0.9%
Carly Irwin 4.4% 5.1% 5.6% 9.7% 11.1% 15.2% 19.7% 25.8% 3.4%
Luke Sadalla 4.9% 5.6% 6.1% 9.6% 10.9% 13.9% 18.7% 26.8% 3.5%
Piper Luke 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 5.3% 88.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.