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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.54+1.11vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.77+2.32vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.09+1.76vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-0.44-0.57vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-1.31-0.01vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.20-1.13vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.76-2.05vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-1.75-3.14vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Michigan Technological University0.540.4%1st Place
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4.32Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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3.43Northern Michigan University-0.440.2%1st Place
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4.99Michigan Technological University-1.310.1%1st Place
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4.87Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.95Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
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5.86Grand Valley State University-1.750.1%1st Place
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8.72Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 42.8% | 27.2% | 14.9% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 7.9% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 0.4% |
| John McCalmont | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 0.8% |
| Marco Constantini | 16.8% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.9% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 0.9% |
| Luke Sadalla | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 21.1% | 26.6% | 3.6% |
| Carly Irwin | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 27.1% | 3.1% |
| Piper Luke | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 89.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.