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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.54+1.03vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-1.31+2.96vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-0.44+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.09-0.67vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.77-2.19vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.75-1.48vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-3.63-1.18vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-1.54vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-1.20-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Michigan Technological University0.540.5%1st Place
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4.96Michigan Technological University-1.310.0%1st Place
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3.41Northern Michigan University-0.440.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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3.81Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.52Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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7.82Northwestern University-3.630.0%1st Place
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8.46Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
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4.65Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 45.0% | 27.4% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 4.9% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 21.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Marco Constantini | 15.6% | 19.9% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John McCalmont | 9.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 12.4% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 27.6% | 10.7% | 1.1% |
| Shea Smith | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 53.1% | 28.5% |
| Piper Luke | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 22.6% | 68.7% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.