Race 3A

big-apple-classic-jesuit-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mackenzie Spencer 16.0% 17.3% 16.0% 13.6% 14.1% 9.9% 7.7% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Billy Hines 5.7% 5.9% 7.1% 10.3% 9.8% 14.1% 11.7% 17.0% 10.8% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4%
Scott Lubliner 6.6% 5.6% 6.5% 9.4% 8.5% 11.6% 14.9% 14.0% 13.0% 7.5% 2.2% 0.2%
Louis Padnos 21.2% 23.4% 16.1% 13.2% 10.9% 7.5% 4.1% 2.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 9.8% 9.4% 12.2% 13.3% 15.2% 11.0% 11.3% 7.4% 7.2% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Alexander Sachs 9.4% 9.1% 11.6% 10.4% 13.3% 11.6% 14.3% 11.3% 5.1% 3.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Willem Sandberg 21.3% 16.6% 18.0% 13.8% 11.1% 9.1% 5.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jonathan Goldsmith 4.3% 6.0% 6.2% 7.6% 8.2% 11.1% 12.9% 14.7% 15.3% 8.7% 4.3% 0.7%
Harmen Rockler 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 2.9% 3.0% 5.8% 12.4% 24.0% 26.6% 20.1%
Francois Conde-Jahn 3.2% 4.2% 4.0% 5.1% 5.9% 8.2% 9.9% 14.2% 19.8% 16.0% 7.2% 2.3%
Jonathan Hatch 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 1.6% 2.7% 4.0% 7.3% 16.6% 29.7% 33.5%
Tim Gorzelnik 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 2.2% 2.7% 5.3% 14.7% 27.3% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.