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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.40vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.55+3.12vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.02+4.30vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.46+7.47vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.77+2.30vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.58+5.90vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.19+2.73vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.73-0.41vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.32-5.12vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.78-5.25vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.06-1.30vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-0.41-0.85vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-0.46-1.73vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.73-6.65vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.41-6.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4College of Charleston2.4922.8%1st Place
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5.12Jacksonville University1.5510.5%1st Place
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7.3University of South Florida1.025.4%1st Place
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11.47University of Central Florida-0.461.2%1st Place
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7.3Florida State University0.775.1%1st Place
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11.9Embry-Riddle University-0.581.0%1st Place
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9.73The Citadel0.192.4%1st Place
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7.59Florida Institute of Technology0.734.0%1st Place
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3.88University of Miami2.3219.9%1st Place
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4.75North Carolina State University1.7814.3%1st Place
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9.7Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
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11.15University of South Carolina-0.411.6%1st Place
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11.27University of North Carolina-0.461.2%1st Place
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7.35Clemson University0.735.1%1st Place
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8.08Rollins College0.413.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 22.8% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 21.9% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 27.3% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.9% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 17.1% |
| May Proctor | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 18.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.