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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Caroline Henry 12.6% 14.3% 16.2% 17.1% 15.8% 14.5% 7.8% 1.7% 0.0%
Andrew Michels 40.6% 28.5% 16.8% 7.9% 3.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Dodge 7.1% 10.2% 11.6% 14.2% 17.9% 17.4% 17.0% 4.3% 0.3%
Carly Irwin 4.8% 6.0% 7.9% 12.3% 13.0% 17.4% 28.2% 9.5% 0.9%
Cecilia Dietsch 7.5% 10.2% 12.7% 13.4% 15.2% 17.8% 16.8% 5.7% 0.7%
Marco Constantini 17.8% 19.1% 19.8% 17.6% 12.4% 9.2% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0%
John McCalmont 8.4% 10.5% 13.3% 15.0% 18.2% 17.2% 14.2% 3.1% 0.1%
Piper Luke 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.9% 3.6% 20.5% 71.0%
Shea Smith 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.9% 2.8% 2.7% 8.2% 54.6% 27.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.