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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-0.77+2.92vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.54+0.14vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.20+0.69vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-1.75+0.41vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-1.31-1.28vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-0.44-3.68vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.09-3.51vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-1.50vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-3.63-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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2.14Michigan Technological University0.540.4%1st Place
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4.69Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.41Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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4.72Michigan Technological University-1.310.1%1st Place
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3.32Northern Michigan University-0.440.2%1st Place
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4.49University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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8.5Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
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7.81Northwestern University-3.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Henry | 12.6% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 40.6% | 28.5% | 16.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 28.2% | 9.5% | 0.9% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Marco Constantini | 17.8% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Piper Luke | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 20.5% | 71.0% |
| Shea Smith | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 8.2% | 54.6% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.