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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-1.75+4.87vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-0.44+0.69vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.77+0.14vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.20-0.16vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.54-3.90vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.09-2.35vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.31-2.87vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-1.76-3.14vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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3.69Northern Michigan University-0.440.1%1st Place
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4.14Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.84Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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2.1Michigan Technological University0.540.5%1st Place
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4.65University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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5.13Michigan Technological University-1.310.1%1st Place
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5.86Northwestern University-1.760.1%1st Place
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8.72Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Irwin | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 20.9% | 26.6% | 3.3% |
| Marco Constantini | 11.5% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Michels | 45.6% | 25.3% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 0.6% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 1.6% |
| Luke Sadalla | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 25.9% | 4.1% |
| Piper Luke | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.6% | 89.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.