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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.54+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.09+2.88vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.77+1.16vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.75+1.77vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-0.44-1.51vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.76-1.13vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.20-3.11vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-1.31-3.88vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Michigan Technological University0.540.4%1st Place
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4.88University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.16Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.77Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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3.49Northern Michigan University-0.440.2%1st Place
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5.87Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
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4.89Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.12Michigan Technological University-1.310.1%1st Place
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8.72Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 42.9% | 27.1% | 16.0% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 5.7% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 9.5% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 25.7% | 3.2% |
| Marco Constantini | 17.8% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Luke Sadalla | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 19.7% | 26.9% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 1.5% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 1.6% |
| Piper Luke | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 89.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.