Race 11A

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Andrew Michels 42.8% 26.2% 15.5% 8.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan Dodge 5.0% 7.7% 12.2% 12.9% 16.0% 16.7% 16.1% 12.1% 1.3%
Cecilia Dietsch 6.0% 8.3% 10.4% 12.7% 13.3% 16.4% 15.8% 16.0% 1.1%
Marco Constantini 16.5% 19.9% 19.0% 16.0% 12.7% 9.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.1%
John McCalmont 9.0% 12.9% 13.7% 14.1% 12.9% 13.2% 13.7% 9.6% 0.9%
Caroline Henry 11.5% 13.9% 15.9% 16.5% 17.6% 11.5% 7.5% 5.3% 0.3%
Carly Irwin 4.6% 4.5% 6.5% 8.3% 12.5% 15.3% 19.9% 25.3% 3.1%
Piper Luke 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 4.3% 89.2%
Luke Sadalla 4.3% 6.2% 6.1% 10.0% 9.9% 14.4% 19.8% 25.3% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.