Race 12A

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Andrew Michels 40.9% 25.7% 14.1% 9.4% 5.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Caroline Henry 11.0% 10.3% 15.5% 14.4% 13.5% 13.5% 9.2% 7.7% 4.5% 0.4%
Carly Irwin 3.5% 5.5% 5.9% 7.2% 7.7% 9.7% 13.6% 17.8% 25.7% 3.4%
Ryan Dodge 5.4% 9.2% 9.9% 12.4% 12.9% 13.4% 13.4% 12.4% 9.9% 1.1%
Marco Constantini 15.0% 17.2% 16.1% 16.4% 13.5% 9.4% 6.2% 4.0% 2.0% 0.2%
Sedona Miles 7.9% 9.3% 9.6% 10.8% 13.9% 12.9% 12.0% 13.1% 9.6% 0.9%
Cecilia Dietsch 5.2% 7.4% 9.3% 11.3% 10.7% 13.5% 15.2% 14.7% 11.3% 1.4%
John McCalmont 7.3% 10.0% 13.1% 11.2% 12.5% 13.0% 13.4% 10.5% 8.5% 0.5%
Luke Sadalla 3.5% 5.1% 6.4% 6.6% 9.5% 10.5% 14.6% 17.1% 23.3% 3.4%
Piper Luke 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 2.0% 5.1% 88.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.