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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+1.00vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.47+0.63vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-1.37+1.16vs Predicted
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4Hope College-2.94+3.31vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-3.12+2.47vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-2.42+0.13vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-2.47-0.96vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-2.43-2.01vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-2.03-3.63vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-4.28-0.66vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-4.46-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Michigan Technological University0.070.4%1st Place
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2.63University of Michigan-0.470.3%1st Place
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4.16Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
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7.31Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
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7.47Northwestern University-3.120.0%1st Place
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6.13Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.04Northern Michigan University-2.470.0%1st Place
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5.99Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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5.37Grand Valley State University-2.030.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Toledo-4.280.0%1st Place
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9.58Saginaw Valley State University-4.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 41.9% | 30.7% | 17.3% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 26.9% | 27.1% | 20.6% | 14.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 9.9% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Daub | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 6.4% |
| John Tirpak | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 6.6% |
| Lawrence Busse | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 25.5% | 38.6% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 26.2% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.