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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.47+0.61vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-1.37+1.19vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-2.43+2.25vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-2.03+0.32vs Predicted
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6Hope College-2.94+1.17vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-2.42-1.08vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-3.12-0.63vs Predicted
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9Saginaw Valley State University-4.46+0.70vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-2.47-3.90vs Predicted
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11University of Toledo-4.28-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Michigan Technological University0.070.4%1st Place
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2.61University of Michigan-0.470.3%1st Place
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4.19Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
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6.25Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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5.32Grand Valley State University-2.030.1%1st Place
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7.17Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
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5.92Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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7.37Northwestern University-3.120.0%1st Place
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9.7Saginaw Valley State University-4.460.0%1st Place
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6.1Northern Michigan University-2.470.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Toledo-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 41.6% | 30.6% | 17.1% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 26.4% | 28.3% | 20.8% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 9.7% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Daub | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 4.6% |
| Lawrence Busse | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| John Tirpak | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 15.9% | 5.1% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 22.5% | 49.8% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 27.8% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.