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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+0.91vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.11+1.53vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-1.37+1.09vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.45+0.24vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-2.42+1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-2.73+0.73vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.94-0.06vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-2.47-1.94vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-3.12-1.50vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-4.28-0.64vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-4.46-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Michigan Technological University0.070.5%1st Place
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3.53Michigan State University-1.110.2%1st Place
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4.09Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.24Grand Valley State University-1.450.1%1st Place
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6.04Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.73University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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6.94Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
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6.06Northern Michigan University-2.470.0%1st Place
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7.5Northwestern University-3.120.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Toledo-4.280.0%1st Place
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9.59Saginaw Valley State University-4.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 47.5% | 28.5% | 14.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 15.1% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 10.8% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 9.1% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lawrence Busse | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Daub | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| John Tirpak | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 7.5% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 24.9% | 39.3% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 25.4% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.