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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+0.92vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.11+1.51vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-2.42+3.22vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.37+0.12vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-1.45-0.91vs Predicted
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6Hope College-2.94+1.20vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-2.73-0.43vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-2.47-1.97vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-4.28+0.45vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-3.12-2.66vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-4.46-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Michigan Technological University0.070.5%1st Place
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3.51Michigan State University-1.110.1%1st Place
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6.22Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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4.12Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.09Grand Valley State University-1.450.1%1st Place
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7.2Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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6.03Northern Michigan University-2.470.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Toledo-4.280.0%1st Place
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7.34Northwestern University-3.120.0%1st Place
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9.56Saginaw Valley State University-4.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 47.3% | 28.0% | 14.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 14.5% | 19.6% | 20.3% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lawrence Busse | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Alex Cross | 10.1% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 11.0% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Daub | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 5.1% |
| Andrew Beute | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 26.0% | 41.0% |
| John Tirpak | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 13.5% | 5.4% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 26.6% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.