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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+0.99vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-2.43+4.08vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-1.37+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.47-1.31vs Predicted
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5Hope College-2.94+2.13vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-2.03-0.61vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-2.47-0.99vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-2.42-1.97vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-3.12-1.47vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-4.46-0.35vs Predicted
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11University of Toledo-4.28-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Michigan Technological University0.070.4%1st Place
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6.08Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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4.14Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Michigan-0.470.2%1st Place
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7.13Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
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5.39Grand Valley State University-2.030.0%1st Place
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6.01Northern Michigan University-2.470.0%1st Place
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6.03Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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7.53Northwestern University-3.120.0%1st Place
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9.65Saginaw Valley State University-4.460.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Toledo-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 44.0% | 29.3% | 16.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Alex Cross | 9.6% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 24.1% | 27.7% | 22.0% | 14.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Daub | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 3.4% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 4.8% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Lawrence Busse | 3.8% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| John Tirpak | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 19.2% | 15.0% | 8.1% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 48.9% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 28.2% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.