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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+4.76vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.90+3.99vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.93+0.89vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.10-1.24vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina0.22+2.84vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.50+0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.20+3.02vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.17+1.30vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.23+0.43vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.83+2.54vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.06-1.74vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.33-4.41vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.60+1.27vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-0.57-3.34vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-2.35vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.57-5.47vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-1.58-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76North Carolina State University1.097.8%1st Place
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5.99University of South Florida0.907.9%1st Place
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3.06College of Charleston2.3827.7%1st Place
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4.89University of Miami1.9312.4%1st Place
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3.76Jacksonville University2.1020.0%1st Place
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8.84University of North Carolina0.223.4%1st Place
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7.55Florida State University0.504.8%1st Place
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11.02University of Central Florida-0.201.8%1st Place
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10.3Eckerd College-0.172.5%1st Place
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10.43Clemson University0.231.9%1st Place
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13.54Embry-Riddle University-1.830.5%1st Place
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10.26Rollins College-0.061.8%1st Place
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8.59The Citadel0.333.5%1st Place
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15.27Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.600.4%1st Place
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11.66University of South Carolina-0.571.5%1st Place
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13.65University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.210.5%1st Place
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11.53Duke University-0.571.2%1st Place
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14.9Florida Institute of Technology-1.580.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 27.7% | 21.1% | 18.0% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 12.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 20.0% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Brady Parks | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Rowan Barnes | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% |
| KA Hamner | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Launsby | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 19.6% | 33.7% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 14.4% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 19.8% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.