Race 4A

big-apple-classic-jesuit-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Louis Padnos 21.7% 19.6% 18.2% 14.8% 10.6% 7.7% 4.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 8.1% 12.3% 10.7% 11.9% 13.5% 13.5% 10.4% 10.8% 5.9% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 11.0% 7.8% 10.3% 11.1% 12.1% 12.9% 13.3% 12.8% 5.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Mackenzie Spencer 16.4% 18.8% 16.5% 13.6% 10.6% 11.5% 7.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Goldsmith 4.2% 5.3% 6.3% 6.7% 8.9% 9.1% 13.6% 15.7% 15.6% 10.6% 3.4% 0.6%
Willem Sandberg 20.8% 17.5% 15.7% 16.0% 11.8% 8.1% 5.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hines 6.8% 7.4% 8.3% 8.7% 10.5% 12.3% 12.1% 14.1% 11.3% 5.0% 3.0% 0.5%
Scott Lubliner 6.6% 6.5% 7.7% 7.8% 9.4% 10.5% 13.8% 13.4% 14.4% 6.9% 2.5% 0.5%
Francois Conde-Jahn 2.4% 2.3% 4.1% 4.6% 7.8% 8.7% 12.0% 14.2% 19.0% 17.6% 6.4% 0.9%
Harmen Rockler 0.5% 1.2% 0.9% 3.0% 2.7% 2.5% 2.4% 4.8% 11.4% 24.1% 25.7% 20.8%
Jonathan Hatch 1.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 2.9% 3.0% 8.1% 15.8% 30.3% 33.9%
Tim Gorzelnik 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 1.8% 2.6% 2.7% 5.6% 13.6% 27.6% 42.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.