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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+1.01vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-2.03+3.31vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-1.37+1.15vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-2.43+2.24vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.47-2.38vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-4.46+3.69vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-2.42-1.10vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-3.12-0.63vs Predicted
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9Hope College-2.94-1.80vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-2.47-3.89vs Predicted
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11University of Toledo-4.28-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Michigan Technological University0.070.4%1st Place
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5.31Grand Valley State University-2.030.1%1st Place
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4.15Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
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6.24Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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2.62University of Michigan-0.470.3%1st Place
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9.69Saginaw Valley State University-4.460.0%1st Place
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5.9Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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7.37Northwestern University-3.120.0%1st Place
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7.2Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
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6.11Northern Michigan University-2.470.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Toledo-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 42.2% | 30.8% | 15.1% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Cross | 9.6% | 11.7% | 20.0% | 19.1% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 26.3% | 28.1% | 21.6% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 22.4% | 48.5% |
| Lawrence Busse | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| John Tirpak | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Daub | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 4.6% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 28.1% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.