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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+0.75vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.11+1.11vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-1.37+0.52vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-2.42+1.30vs Predicted
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5Hope College-2.94+1.20vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-3.12+0.55vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-4.46+1.80vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-2.47-2.62vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-2.73-3.08vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-4.28-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Michigan Technological University0.070.5%1st Place
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3.11Michigan State University-1.110.2%1st Place
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3.52Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
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5.3Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.2Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
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6.55Northwestern University-3.120.0%1st Place
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8.8Saginaw Valley State University-4.460.0%1st Place
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5.38Northern Michigan University-2.470.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Toledo-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 54.4% | 26.9% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 16.2% | 24.9% | 21.9% | 18.3% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 13.2% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lawrence Busse | 3.2% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Daub | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 11.4% | 3.3% |
| John Tirpak | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 6.0% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 26.5% | 47.1% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 4.1% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 26.9% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.