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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lucas Rodenroth 54.4% 26.9% 10.7% 5.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Beck 16.2% 24.9% 21.9% 18.3% 10.1% 5.0% 2.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Alex Cross 13.2% 17.5% 21.7% 19.0% 15.3% 8.3% 3.6% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Lawrence Busse 3.2% 6.8% 11.1% 15.1% 16.2% 16.9% 15.2% 9.5% 5.2% 0.8%
Matthew Daub 3.1% 5.4% 7.3% 7.2% 10.1% 15.7% 16.7% 19.8% 11.4% 3.3%
John Tirpak 2.7% 4.7% 4.8% 7.5% 9.2% 14.0% 16.2% 19.2% 15.7% 6.0%
Claire DeVoogd 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 1.5% 2.6% 4.5% 5.5% 10.1% 26.5% 47.1%
Nathan Sylvester 4.1% 6.2% 11.4% 12.4% 16.7% 15.6% 16.1% 11.1% 5.0% 1.4%
Andrew Beute 2.0% 6.1% 8.0% 10.8% 14.1% 14.5% 17.0% 15.9% 9.0% 2.6%
Cooper Avery 0.5% 0.9% 2.1% 2.8% 3.4% 5.2% 6.8% 12.6% 26.9% 38.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.