← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan Technological University0.07+0.76vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University-1.11+1.12vs Predicted
-
3Michigan Technological University-1.37+0.50vs Predicted
-
4Northern Michigan University-2.42+1.33vs Predicted
-
5Hope College-2.94+1.21vs Predicted
-
6Northern Michigan University-2.47-0.62vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-3.12-0.37vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan-2.73-2.10vs Predicted
-
9Saginaw Valley State University-4.46-0.30vs Predicted
-
10University of Toledo-4.28-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.76Michigan Technological University0.070.5%1st Place
-
3.12Michigan State University-1.110.2%1st Place
-
3.5Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
-
5.33Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
-
6.21Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
-
5.38Northern Michigan University-2.470.0%1st Place
-
6.63Northwestern University-3.120.0%1st Place
-
5.9University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
-
8.7Saginaw Valley State University-4.460.0%1st Place
-
8.48University of Toledo-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 54.2% | 26.7% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 15.9% | 24.8% | 23.2% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 13.0% | 18.5% | 21.3% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lawrence Busse | 3.1% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Daub | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 12.2% | 3.3% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| John Tirpak | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 15.0% | 5.6% |
| Andrew Beute | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 25.7% | 46.7% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 12.9% | 27.1% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.