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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lucas Rodenroth 54.2% 26.7% 10.9% 5.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Beck 15.9% 24.8% 23.2% 16.4% 11.1% 5.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Cross 13.0% 18.5% 21.3% 18.9% 15.7% 7.8% 3.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Lawrence Busse 3.1% 7.2% 11.1% 14.0% 15.8% 17.8% 14.7% 10.0% 5.4% 0.9%
Matthew Daub 3.0% 5.7% 7.0% 7.9% 10.7% 12.9% 18.5% 18.8% 12.2% 3.3%
Nathan Sylvester 4.9% 6.9% 10.7% 12.2% 15.9% 16.2% 12.6% 13.2% 5.7% 1.7%
John Tirpak 1.6% 3.0% 5.1% 8.4% 9.8% 14.0% 17.9% 19.6% 15.0% 5.6%
Andrew Beute 3.0% 5.3% 7.7% 11.8% 12.8% 15.3% 17.5% 15.0% 8.6% 3.0%
Claire DeVoogd 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.9% 2.8% 4.9% 6.6% 8.5% 25.7% 46.7%
Cooper Avery 0.5% 1.0% 1.8% 2.7% 3.6% 5.2% 6.4% 12.9% 27.1% 38.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.