← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
George Warfel 22.0% 24.9% 20.3% 16.9% 10.9% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucas Rodenroth 35.6% 25.3% 19.4% 10.9% 5.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Weykamp 2.9% 3.4% 4.3% 6.9% 9.1% 12.1% 16.9% 17.1% 15.6% 9.3% 2.4%
Alex Cross 7.1% 8.3% 12.7% 16.7% 18.6% 14.6% 11.7% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Garrett Szlachta 4.6% 5.7% 7.4% 9.5% 14.6% 16.2% 15.0% 13.1% 10.4% 2.7% 0.8%
Oliver Peloquin 19.4% 22.0% 22.2% 16.7% 9.1% 7.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Cooper Avery 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 2.5% 2.1% 3.0% 2.6% 7.2% 12.3% 27.7% 40.4%
Lawrence Busse 3.4% 2.7% 4.8% 8.1% 11.5% 14.7% 16.4% 15.7% 13.9% 7.6% 1.2%
Nathan Sylvester 2.6% 4.3% 4.4% 5.9% 9.4% 13.6% 16.0% 16.8% 16.3% 8.1% 2.6%
Matthew Daub 1.5% 2.3% 2.8% 5.2% 6.6% 10.2% 14.2% 15.5% 21.4% 15.9% 4.4%
Claire DeVoogd 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 2.2% 2.6% 3.4% 6.3% 7.3% 27.8% 48.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.