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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.27+1.87vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.07+0.36vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-2.43+3.83vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.37+0.77vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-2.03+0.86vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.47-2.89vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-4.28+2.51vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-2.42-1.44vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-2.47-2.21vs Predicted
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10Hope College-2.94-2.47vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-4.46-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Northwestern University-0.270.2%1st Place
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2.36Michigan Technological University0.070.4%1st Place
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6.83Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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4.77Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
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5.86Grand Valley State University-2.030.0%1st Place
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3.11University of Michigan-0.470.2%1st Place
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9.51University of Toledo-4.280.0%1st Place
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6.56Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.79Northern Michigan University-2.470.0%1st Place
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7.53Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
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9.81Saginaw Valley State University-4.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Warfel | 22.0% | 24.9% | 20.3% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 35.6% | 25.3% | 19.4% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 9.3% | 2.4% |
| Alex Cross | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 19.4% | 22.0% | 22.2% | 16.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 27.7% | 40.4% |
| Lawrence Busse | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Daub | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 15.9% | 4.4% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 27.8% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.