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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.27+1.84vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.07+0.36vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.47+0.21vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.37+0.77vs Predicted
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5Hope College-2.94+2.62vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-2.42+0.70vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-2.43-0.50vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-2.03-2.23vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-2.47-2.18vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-4.46-0.16vs Predicted
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11University of Toledo-4.28-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Northwestern University-0.270.2%1st Place
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2.36Michigan Technological University0.070.4%1st Place
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3.21University of Michigan-0.470.2%1st Place
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4.77Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
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7.62Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
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6.7Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.5Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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5.77Grand Valley State University-2.030.1%1st Place
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6.82Northern Michigan University-2.470.0%1st Place
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9.84Saginaw Valley State University-4.460.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Toledo-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Warfel | 22.8% | 25.1% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 35.8% | 25.8% | 18.3% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 17.5% | 21.3% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Daub | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 23.1% | 18.0% | 4.8% |
| Lawrence Busse | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 7.6% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 22.9% | 51.3% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 32.2% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.