Race 11B

laker-showdown

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lucas Rodenroth 49.3% 29.2% 13.1% 6.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Beck 16.1% 21.5% 21.0% 14.7% 11.3% 9.1% 4.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Cross 11.0% 15.4% 18.1% 16.7% 15.0% 12.8% 5.4% 3.7% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Garrett Szlachta 5.7% 8.1% 10.6% 13.9% 14.9% 15.2% 12.7% 10.7% 4.6% 3.2% 0.4%
John Tirpak 2.6% 3.0% 4.2% 6.0% 7.1% 8.2% 12.9% 14.1% 21.1% 14.6% 6.2%
Andrew Beute 2.7% 5.1% 6.2% 8.7% 8.8% 12.3% 14.7% 14.9% 14.2% 9.0% 3.4%
Lawrence Busse 4.8% 7.1% 7.4% 12.4% 13.5% 14.1% 12.5% 13.0% 9.5% 4.9% 0.8%
Nathan Sylvester 4.3% 5.2% 9.2% 11.5% 13.7% 11.8% 13.4% 13.2% 10.1% 6.1% 1.5%
Claire DeVoogd 0.7% 0.7% 1.5% 1.1% 2.8% 2.5% 3.9% 5.7% 9.2% 23.8% 48.1%
Cooper Avery 0.7% 0.8% 1.7% 2.1% 2.3% 4.1% 5.1% 6.9% 12.9% 27.0% 36.4%
Matthew Daub 2.1% 3.9% 7.0% 6.7% 9.2% 9.2% 15.3% 15.9% 16.2% 11.3% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.