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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-1.11+2.57vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.07-0.13vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-2.03+2.40vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-2.47+2.43vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-1.37-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-2.73+1.08vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-2.42-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-2.96-0.52vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-3.12-1.22vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-4.46+0.37vs Predicted
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11Hope College-2.94-3.39vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-4.28-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Michigan State University-1.110.2%1st Place
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1.87Michigan Technological University0.070.5%1st Place
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5.4Grand Valley State University-2.030.1%1st Place
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6.43Northern Michigan University-2.470.0%1st Place
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4.02Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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6.18Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Iowa-2.960.0%1st Place
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7.78Northwestern University-3.120.0%1st Place
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10.37Saginaw Valley State University-4.460.0%1st Place
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7.61Hope College-2.940.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Toledo-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Beck | 15.3% | 18.4% | 19.5% | 18.3% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 49.2% | 27.7% | 13.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 2.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Alex Cross | 11.6% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Lawrence Busse | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Aiden Truesdell | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 5.2% |
| John Tirpak | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 3.6% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 24.8% | 43.6% |
| Matthew Daub | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 26.3% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.