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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.12+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86-0.38vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.52-0.21vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.29-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Northwestern University0.120.3%1st Place
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1.62University of Wisconsin0.860.5%1st Place
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2.79University of Michigan-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.4Purdue University-1.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Bray | 26.9% | 37.6% | 25.4% | 10.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 54.8% | 30.1% | 13.1% | 2.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 13.1% | 21.4% | 38.6% | 26.9% |
| Kellie Keane | 5.2% | 10.9% | 22.9% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.