Race 5A

big-apple-classic-jesuit-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Willem Sandberg 19.3% 16.3% 18.5% 15.7% 11.7% 8.4% 5.4% 2.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Mackenzie Spencer 16.9% 17.9% 15.7% 14.8% 11.4% 10.5% 6.7% 4.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 10.0% 9.3% 10.5% 9.8% 12.9% 13.3% 13.1% 12.0% 5.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 22.4% 22.2% 15.9% 13.1% 9.6% 8.1% 5.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jonathan Goldsmith 4.6% 5.1% 5.8% 6.5% 9.7% 10.3% 12.7% 15.3% 15.6% 10.3% 3.5% 0.6%
Scott Lubliner 5.5% 6.8% 7.3% 6.7% 9.2% 12.4% 13.4% 13.8% 15.1% 7.2% 2.5% 0.1%
Timothy Scanlon 11.6% 10.6% 9.8% 13.6% 12.9% 12.3% 12.0% 8.2% 6.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Francois Conde-Jahn 3.0% 4.0% 4.6% 4.7% 6.5% 6.9% 11.0% 13.1% 21.5% 15.3% 7.0% 2.4%
Billy Hines 4.6% 5.8% 9.2% 9.8% 12.0% 11.8% 13.9% 15.4% 10.1% 6.0% 1.3% 0.1%
Harmen Rockler 0.7% 0.6% 1.9% 2.9% 1.5% 2.9% 2.4% 6.6% 9.2% 24.2% 26.5% 20.6%
Jonathan Hatch 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 1.5% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 3.4% 7.5% 16.5% 30.5% 33.6%
Tim Gorzelnik 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 2.2% 3.2% 5.7% 13.8% 27.3% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.