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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+5.00vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+1.69vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.380.00vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.93+0.83vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.22+3.80vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.90+0.10vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17+3.30vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.20+2.92vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.50-1.30vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.33-1.40vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.83+2.62vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.23-1.52vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.60+2.24vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.57-2.58vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.58-0.27vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-2.33vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina-0.57-5.25vs Predicted
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18Rollins College-0.06-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0North Carolina State University1.097.4%1st Place
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3.69Jacksonville University2.1018.6%1st Place
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3.0College of Charleston2.3828.5%1st Place
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4.83University of Miami1.9312.7%1st Place
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8.8University of North Carolina0.223.5%1st Place
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6.1University of South Florida0.907.5%1st Place
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10.3Eckerd College-0.172.5%1st Place
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10.92University of Central Florida-0.201.8%1st Place
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7.7Florida State University0.504.7%1st Place
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8.6The Citadel0.333.3%1st Place
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13.62Embry-Riddle University-1.831.0%1st Place
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10.48Clemson University0.231.9%1st Place
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15.24Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.600.4%1st Place
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11.42Duke University-0.571.5%1st Place
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14.73Florida Institute of Technology-1.580.4%1st Place
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13.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.210.9%1st Place
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11.75University of South Carolina-0.571.1%1st Place
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10.14Rollins College-0.062.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 18.6% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 28.5% | 21.5% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Brady Parks | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 13.2% |
| Rowan Barnes | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Emma Launsby | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 32.2% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 26.7% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 15.0% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| KA Hamner | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.