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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.86+0.60vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.12+0.21vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.52-0.20vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.29-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6University of Wisconsin0.860.6%1st Place
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2.21Northwestern University0.120.3%1st Place
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2.8University of Michigan-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.4Purdue University-1.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 55.6% | 32.0% | 9.7% | 2.7% |
| Grace Bray | 25.2% | 37.3% | 29.0% | 8.5% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 13.4% | 20.8% | 38.0% | 27.8% |
| Kellie Keane | 5.8% | 9.9% | 23.3% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.