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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.86+0.60vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.52+0.80vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.12-0.78vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.29-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6University of Wisconsin0.860.6%1st Place
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2.8University of Michigan-0.520.1%1st Place
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2.22Northwestern University0.120.2%1st Place
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3.38Purdue University-1.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 56.4% | 29.5% | 11.3% | 2.8% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 13.1% | 21.1% | 38.9% | 26.9% |
| Grace Bray | 24.3% | 40.0% | 25.1% | 10.6% |
| Kellie Keane | 6.2% | 9.4% | 24.7% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.