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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.73+4.30vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.39+0.79vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.81+1.04vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.34+1.07vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65+1.58vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.52-3.53vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.26-1.86vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.07-2.43vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.43-0.23vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy0.10-0.63vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-0.10-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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3.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Vermont3.390.2%1st Place
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5.04Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.07Columbia University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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3.47Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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6.14SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.57Cornell University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.77Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Military Academy0.100.0%1st Place
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10.64Rutgers University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sachs | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 22.3% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 17.7% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 8.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hines | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 15.6% | 8.4% | 1.9% |
| Willem Sandberg | 21.5% | 19.1% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Goldsmith | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Harmen Rockler | 0.6% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 12.0% | 23.0% | 26.5% | 20.5% |
| Jonathan Hatch | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 16.1% | 30.3% | 33.5% |
| Tim Gorzelnik | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 15.7% | 26.0% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.