← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.80+6.06vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.48+3.03vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.14+3.13vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.84+3.22vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.63-0.53vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University0.94+4.47vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.40vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+1.90vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.93-2.06vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University1.31-1.12vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.51-2.59vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-2.20vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-0.77vs Predicted
-
14The Citadel-0.68+0.67vs Predicted
-
15Princeton University-1.64+0.98vs Predicted
-
16University of Saint Thomas0.47-4.18vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University2.03-10.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.06Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
-
5.03Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
-
6.13Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
-
7.22University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
4.47Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
-
10.47Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
-
7.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
-
9.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
-
6.94Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
-
8.88Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
-
8.41University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
-
9.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
-
12.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
-
14.67The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
-
15.98Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
-
11.82University of Saint Thomas0.470.0%1st Place
-
6.59Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 14.0% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 17.4% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Wang | 4.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Clark Morris | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Luke Kenahan | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 3.7% |
| Henry Parker | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 34.1% | 25.7% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 17.1% | 65.5% |
| Greg Bittle | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 2.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.