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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+2.19vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.52+4.45vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.69+3.03vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37+3.15vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89+3.63vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.46+0.99vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.14+4.41vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.77-2.29vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.83-3.24vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.38+0.50vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05-2.68vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.20-0.87vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.62-3.17vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-3.64vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-2.60vs Predicted
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16University of Saint Thomas-0.65-2.29vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-1.44-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Brown University2.730.3%1st Place
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6.45Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston College1.690.1%1st Place
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7.15University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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8.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
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6.99Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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5.71Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.76Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.5Clemson University0.380.0%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.1%1st Place
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11.13The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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9.83Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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12.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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13.71University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
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15.42Princeton University-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brock | 28.1% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Jack Crager | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 4.4% |
| Jack Flores | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Adams | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Joey Richardson | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 3.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 8.9% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 22.4% | 19.1% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 14.6% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.