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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.83+4.46vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+1.25vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.69+3.06vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+2.67vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.37+1.98vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.38+4.76vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+3.26vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62+1.55vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.46-2.06vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-1.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.77-5.06vs Predicted
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12University of Saint Thomas-0.65+1.66vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.14-1.56vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-1.43vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.44+0.22vs Predicted
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16The Citadel0.20-4.77vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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3.25Brown University2.730.3%1st Place
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6.06Boston College1.690.1%1st Place
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6.67Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.98University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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10.76Clemson University0.380.0%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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9.55Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
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5.94Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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13.66University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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12.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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15.22Princeton University-1.440.0%1st Place
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11.23The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| James Brock | 26.0% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 7.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Adams | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Jack Crager | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack Flores | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 23.7% | 20.6% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 9.2% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 53.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Joey Richardson | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.