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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+2.02vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.90+3.97vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.22+5.79vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.13+6.24vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.64-0.02vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.10-2.27vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.23+3.42vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.20+2.77vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.17+1.39vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.33-1.50vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.83+2.67vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-0.57-0.15vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+0.79vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.50-6.25vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.57-3.60vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-1.58-1.24vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.60-2.02vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.09-12.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02College of Charleston2.3825.9%1st Place
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5.97University of South Florida0.907.3%1st Place
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8.79University of North Carolina0.223.5%1st Place
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10.24Rollins College-0.132.6%1st Place
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4.98University of Miami1.6412.4%1st Place
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3.73Jacksonville University2.1018.2%1st Place
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10.42Clemson University0.232.8%1st Place
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10.77University of Central Florida-0.201.6%1st Place
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10.39Eckerd College-0.172.6%1st Place
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8.5The Citadel0.334.7%1st Place
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13.67Embry-Riddle University-1.830.5%1st Place
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11.85University of South Carolina-0.571.4%1st Place
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13.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.210.8%1st Place
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7.75Florida State University0.504.3%1st Place
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11.4Duke University-0.572.1%1st Place
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14.76Florida Institute of Technology-1.580.8%1st Place
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14.98Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.600.9%1st Place
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5.98North Carolina State University1.097.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 25.9% | 24.1% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Scott | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Steven Hardee | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 18.2% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 14.3% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 15.0% |
| Brady Parks | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 25.9% |
| Emma Launsby | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 31.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.