Race 7A

big-apple-classic-jesuit-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Willem Sandberg 19.0% 17.0% 18.7% 14.6% 13.3% 7.7% 4.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 23.6% 21.1% 17.5% 12.5% 9.0% 8.3% 4.7% 2.2% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mackenzie Spencer 18.0% 18.2% 15.1% 12.7% 15.3% 9.7% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Lubliner 4.3% 6.8% 6.9% 8.9% 11.3% 13.2% 13.0% 13.5% 12.4% 7.6% 1.7% 0.4%
Timothy Scanlon 9.8% 10.9% 11.9% 13.7% 12.3% 12.4% 10.7% 8.7% 6.6% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0%
John Croll 4.4% 4.7% 6.1% 6.8% 7.6% 9.6% 15.9% 13.7% 15.9% 10.6% 3.9% 0.8%
Jonathan Goldsmith 4.7% 6.1% 6.8% 7.8% 8.6% 10.4% 13.0% 14.1% 15.4% 8.5% 3.7% 0.9%
Alexander Sachs 10.9% 10.5% 10.2% 13.4% 10.9% 13.2% 11.6% 10.4% 5.4% 2.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Francois Conde-Jahn 3.1% 2.6% 3.8% 5.0% 7.3% 10.0% 12.0% 16.4% 17.3% 15.6% 6.0% 0.9%
Harmen Rockler 0.9% 0.7% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 2.1% 3.5% 6.2% 11.3% 22.2% 26.3% 20.5%
Jonathan Hatch 0.9% 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 2.3% 5.2% 6.7% 15.3% 30.9% 33.4%
Tim Gorzelnik 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 1.2% 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 5.7% 14.9% 25.9% 43.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.