← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.37+5.97vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.77+3.74vs Predicted
-
3Yale University1.83+2.60vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.73-0.65vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.46+1.67vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.52+0.80vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+1.24vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island0.14+3.17vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-0.03vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University0.62-0.38vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21+1.48vs Predicted
-
12Boston College1.69-5.95vs Predicted
-
13The Citadel0.20-1.71vs Predicted
-
14Clemson University0.38-3.31vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-4.75vs Predicted
-
16University of Saint Thomas-0.65-2.30vs Predicted
-
17Princeton University-1.44-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.97University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
-
5.74Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
-
5.6Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
-
3.35Brown University2.730.3%1st Place
-
6.67Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
-
6.8Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.1%1st Place
-
11.17University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
-
9.62Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
12.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
-
6.05Boston College1.690.1%1st Place
-
11.29The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
-
10.69Clemson University0.380.0%1st Place
-
10.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
-
13.7University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
-
15.4Princeton University-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 25.8% | 19.5% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Crager | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joey Richardson | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 4.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 19.7% | 9.6% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% |
| Luke Adams | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 23.3% | 19.0% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 15.2% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.