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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.74+3.43vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+3.22vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.80+1.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.93vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.29+0.67vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.30-0.28vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.78+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.54-0.23vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-1.12vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.19-0.90vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-2.78+2.56vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.77-1.54vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.34-5.52vs Predicted
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15University of Saint Thomas-3.89+0.54vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-5.98vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.82-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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5.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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4.32Brown University1.800.2%1st Place
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4.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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5.67Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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5.72Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
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7.21Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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10.1University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.56Princeton University-2.780.0%1st Place
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11.46Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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8.48The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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15.54University of Saint Thomas-3.890.0%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.68Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Keeves | 15.6% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Gish | 17.4% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 12.0% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 9.0% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Evan Tofolo | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| John Morgan Griffith | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 55.1% | 25.1% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 26.6% | 7.8% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lily Lupardus | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 19.9% | 73.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| William Avery | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.