← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.80+3.30vs Predicted
-
2Boston College1.30+3.64vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+2.28vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.74+0.54vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island0.54+2.97vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.29-1.22vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.10vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University0.78-1.98vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-1.17vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida-0.19-0.92vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.11vs Predicted
-
13The Citadel0.34-4.49vs Predicted
-
14Clemson University-0.82-2.41vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University-0.77-3.59vs Predicted
-
16University of Saint Thomas-3.89-0.48vs Predicted
-
17Princeton University-2.78-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.3Brown University1.800.2%1st Place
-
5.64Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
-
5.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
-
4.54Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
-
7.97University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
-
5.78Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
-
4.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
-
7.02Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
-
8.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
-
10.08University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
-
9.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
-
8.51The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
-
11.59Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
-
11.41Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
-
15.52University of Saint Thomas-3.890.0%1st Place
-
14.72Princeton University-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Gish | 16.3% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 14.7% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 9.7% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 13.1% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Tofolo | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 10.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Avery | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 26.3% | 8.6% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 26.0% | 7.2% | 0.4% |
| Lily Lupardus | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 17.8% | 75.9% |
| John Morgan Griffith | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 8.0% | 58.8% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.