← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.80+3.26vs Predicted
-
2The Citadel0.34+6.43vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.74+1.45vs Predicted
-
4Boston College1.30+1.78vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+4.91vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.29-0.25vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University0.78+0.26vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.20vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-3.77vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida-0.19+0.12vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-2.11vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University-0.77-0.52vs Predicted
-
13Clemson University-0.82-1.44vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.54-6.18vs Predicted
-
16University of Saint Thomas-3.89-0.49vs Predicted
-
17Princeton University-2.78-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.26Brown University1.800.2%1st Place
-
8.43The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
-
4.45Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
-
5.78Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
-
9.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
-
5.75Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
-
7.26Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
-
4.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
-
5.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
-
10.12University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
-
8.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
-
11.48Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
-
11.56Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
-
7.82University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
-
15.51University of Saint Thomas-3.890.0%1st Place
-
14.73Princeton University-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Gish | 16.4% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 15.8% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 8.8% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Evan Tofolo | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 25.1% | 9.0% | 0.4% |
| William Avery | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 18.8% | 25.4% | 8.0% | 0.4% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lily Lupardus | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 17.9% | 76.0% |
| John Morgan Griffith | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 8.6% | 58.7% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.