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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.80+3.21vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.74+2.48vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.78+4.15vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+1.37vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.82+6.64vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.54+1.94vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.30-1.26vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.34-0.57vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.29-4.30vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-6.10vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida-0.19-2.03vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.77-1.50vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-4.09vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-6.15vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-2.78-1.37vs Predicted
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17University of Saint Thomas-3.89-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Brown University1.800.2%1st Place
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4.48Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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7.15Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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5.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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11.64Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.94University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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5.74Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
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8.43The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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9.97University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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11.5Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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14.63Princeton University-2.780.0%1st Place
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15.59University of Saint Thomas-3.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Gish | 17.3% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 16.4% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Avery | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 19.1% | 26.4% | 7.6% | 0.6% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 12.1% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 25.9% | 9.1% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Evan Tofolo | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Morgan Griffith | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 8.5% | 57.7% | 24.0% |
| Lily Lupardus | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 18.8% | 74.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.