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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.30+4.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.74+2.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.80+1.29vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.54+4.05vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.78+2.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.09vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.29-1.23vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.82+3.57vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-0.13vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-4.70vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.09vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.34-3.47vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida-0.19-3.03vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.77-2.64vs Predicted
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15University of Saint Thomas-3.89+0.51vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-2.78-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
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4.49Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.29Brown University1.800.2%1st Place
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8.05University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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7.24Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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4.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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5.77Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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11.57Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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5.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.53The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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9.97University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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11.36Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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15.51University of Saint Thomas-3.890.0%1st Place
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14.71Princeton University-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rogelio Casellas | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 14.9% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Gish | 16.4% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Avery | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 25.8% | 9.2% | 0.6% |
| Evan Tofolo | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Karya Basaraner | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 25.4% | 6.3% | 0.6% |
| Lily Lupardus | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 17.2% | 75.9% |
| John Morgan Griffith | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 7.9% | 59.4% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.