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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+1.66vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+2.59vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.54-0.43vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.32+0.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.47-0.81vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.39vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.23+0.36vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.15-0.86vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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4.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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2.57Georgetown University2.540.3%1st Place
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4.47University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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4.19U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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5.61St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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7.36SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.14Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 29.0% | 24.9% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 7.1% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 32.0% | 24.0% | 18.3% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Hugh Carty | 10.6% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 7.2% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 14.6% | 23.6% | 37.7% |
| Advik Eswaran | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 23.0% | 33.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 22.9% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.