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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.47+3.30vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.54+0.72vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.47-1.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.30vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.40vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.15+0.20vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.32-3.40vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.23-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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2.72Georgetown University2.540.3%1st Place
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4.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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2.58University of Pennsylvania2.470.3%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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5.6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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7.2Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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7.28SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh Carty | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 26.6% | 26.1% | 19.3% | 14.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 30.8% | 24.4% | 20.2% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.2% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 19.6% | 17.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 7.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 25.2% | 32.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 9.7% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 16.0% | 21.6% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.